tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6130000348899973408.post3811094582016554800..comments2023-12-09T07:21:51.160+00:00Comments on The Druid: Fighting for Anglesey: New Poll: Labour's Albert Owen to hold Ynys Môn in General Election?Paul Williamshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01021606156107333019noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6130000348899973408.post-59350798393591072282010-03-06T00:23:05.796+00:002010-03-06T00:23:05.796+00:00It's because Dwyfor Meirionydd is in the Mid &...It's because Dwyfor Meirionydd is in the Mid & West region for National Assembly elections. Good pollsters will keep regular regions for all sets of elections so that they can build up a data bank and make useful comparisons over time. Which is what we need. Trust the BBC to be wrong, again. Good for YouGov.<br /><br />The silly term "North Wales" is not a constant as you rightly observe. I don't know why any self-respecting Welsh person would use it. If you want to describe a place, call it by it's proper name, like Ynys Môn constituency. Or are we back to Cardigan and Merioneth too?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6130000348899973408.post-87800799466246522052010-03-05T20:10:11.189+00:002010-03-05T20:10:11.189+00:00Hi Ramblings, here's what I've commented o...Hi Ramblings, here's what I've commented over on your blog: "You're certainly right that at face value there appears to be something anomalous here with regards to the support for the Assembly being much, much stronger in N.Wales in the BBC poll than the lastest YouGov poll. There are three possible reasons: (a) due to the fairly low sample, one of the polls is an outlier; (b) respondents answer differently when the question is asked differently (i.e. whereas the YouGov poll only allowed a binary "yes/no" reply to the question regarding whether the Assembly should have more law making powers, the BBC poll offered a selection of possible answers of which only one was negative and five were broadly positive); and (c) the BBC poll used the North Wales 'NHS' region as its 'definition' of N.Wales (http://www.wales.nhs.uk/directorynorth.cfm) whereas I believe the YouGov definition of N.Wales does not include Meirionydd Nant Conwy for some reason. As that is Eifion Llwyd's constituency, could there be that there is much larger support for the Assembly in that particular region which is lacking elsewhere in N.Wales?"Paul Williamshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01021606156107333019noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6130000348899973408.post-7953003902488486382010-03-05T18:06:58.149+00:002010-03-05T18:06:58.149+00:00Hi Druid. Something is anomalous and inconsistent ...Hi Druid. Something is anomalous and inconsistent with the poll. I'm sure you'll see it too when you look at the figures, but i've blogged about it. Hope you can find time to comment.Welsh Ramblingshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17585109264200933570noreply@blogger.com